Posts Tagged ‘Penny Stocks’

What are penny stocks?

Saturday, June 20th, 2009

In U.S. financial markets, penny stocks commonly refer to any stock trading outside one of the major exchanges (NYSE, Nasdaq, or AMEX), and is often considered very risky.

In the UK, penny shares as they are more commonly called, usually refer to a stock and shares in small cap companies, which is defined as being companies with a market capitalization of less than £100 million and/or a share price of less than £1 with a bid/offer spread greater than 10 percent. In the UK Penny Shares are covered by a standard regulatory risk warning issued by the Financial Services Authority(FSA).

Trading penny stocks is the easiest way to make the large profits with the least amount of startup capital. Why? Because of their volatility. It’s a lot more difficult to find a $50 stock that goes up 100 percent in a short time, but there are hundreds of penny stocks that go from a penny to two cents, a dime to 20 cents, or a dollar to two dollars in a matter of days.

There are risks associated with trading penny stocks. In many cases these risks can be mitigated or avoided altogether, but there is always the chance of losing money.

Penny stocks have a bad name, because scammers use thinly traded shares to take advantage of people, with pump and dump schemes, and by providing manipulative information. Penny stocks also get a bad name because many investors lose money trading them, when they don’t understand what their investing in, or how to trade these penny stocks. Many people trade penny stocks before they learn about the easily avoidable dangers, and then complain that penny stocks are dangerous. However, for those investors who do learn how to find good quality companies, and take the time to understand the dangers and how to avoid them, there are tremendous profits to be made.

During a ten year period between 1993 and 2003, the growth in the volume of shares traded on the OTCBB — almost entirely comprised of penny stocks — eclipsed trading volume on the Nasdaq and NYSE (See Figure 1).

Figure 1: Volumes for the Nasdaq and OTCBB. OTCBB volume grew 8900 percent between 1993 and 2003, eclipsing both the Nasdaq (638 percent) and NYSE (512 percent) volume increases by a wide margin.

Volumes on the Pink Sheets  have grown even faster. In 1998, about 9 billion shares traded, and by 2003, volumes had surged to 187.5 billion–an incredible increase of more than 2000% in just five years. (See Figure 2).

Figure 2: Rise in trading volumes on the Pink Sheets

How do you trade penny stocks? Are there any techniques that work best?

Technical analysis that uses indicators and statistics to predict price movements is one possible approach, according to Investopedia. But due to the rampant growth of the penny stock phenomenon, technicians haven’t had the time to build a strategy–assuming anyone is interested in coming up with one. As far as analyzing sub-penny stocks, it would require a new system for charting and monitoring to determine the significance of a 0.0001-cent move, and there is no telling whether or not it would work.

Buzz Stock of the Day- Local.com (LOCM)

Wednesday, March 25th, 2009


There are about 14.6 million small-to-medium-sized businesses in the United States, and they spent more than $6.9 billion in local online advertising in 2008, according to a recent Media Life article.

Big firms have shied away from doing business with SMBs, primarily because of how difficult and time consuming it can be. Many times media sellers spend the same amount of time chasing SMBs, as they do larger businesses, and end up with a much smaller payday when they close a deal.

But sellers can’t ignore SMBs. They have the spending power and they’re spending.

The question is: Where?

Search and rich-media, according to Gordon Borrell of Borrell Associates.

Borrell predicted that SMB spending on paid search will increase by 34.9 percent to hit $3 billion and spending on streaming audio and visual will increase 274.6 percent to hit $563.2 million.

That’s where our Buzz Stock of the Day, Local.com, Inc. (Nasdaq: LOCM) comes in.

[–quote–]

The company provides paid-search advertising services to local and national businesses on the Internet in the United States and Europe, primarily through its destination Web site, Local.com, and also through private label search listings that are used by newspapers and other local publishers across the country.

Chief executive, Heath Clarke recently stated that the company has a “very bullish view on the near and long-term prospects for our business, and why Local.com is nearing break-even and has the confidence to project 30 percent revenue growth to about $50 million this year and turn to net income despite the tough economy.”

Ad budgets are being cut across the board, but Local.com is predicting that the plumber who stops running an ad in the Yellow Pages is going to look to spend his savings on a service like Local.com that may offer a better ROI on his marketing spend.

“Not only will our industry and Local.com receive some of the spend in the near-term, but in the long-term we believe our industry will permanently win this ad spend,” Clarke said in a conference call with analysts.

Clarke cited a study by Kelsey Group, which stated online online ad revenues will grow about 15 percent this year and local online ad revenues will grow about 25 percent, and expected Local.com to outperform the industry growth rates and gain market share “for the fourth year in a row.”

Here’s a quick overview of the company’s full-year results:

Revenue – Revenue was $38.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2008, a 78% increase over $21.5 million in 2007.

Net Loss – Net loss for the full year 2008 was $8.6 million or $0.60 per common share, an improvement over the $18.2 million or $1.58 loss per common share in 2007.

Adjusted EBITDA – Adjusted EBITDA was ($4.7 million), an improvement from ($7.2 million) in 2007. Adjusted EBITDA is net loss excluding: provision for income taxes; interest and other income (expenses), net; depreciation; amortization; and stock based compensation charges.

Balance Sheet – On December 31, 2008, the company had $12.1 million in cash and no debt.

Shares of Local.com, Inc. trade near their 52-week low.

Buzz Stock of the day: CYIO

Tuesday, February 24th, 2009

Department of Defense contractor CYIOS Corp. (OTCBB: CYIO) announced in late December that it had completed the necessary changes business model to “decrease costs, ensure higher profits and prepare for new contract awards coming in the near future.” In that same announcement, CYIOS stated that it was awaiting new contract awards in excess of $180 million, “which will start at the opening of 2009.”

About a month later, CYIOS issued a news release projecting revenues to triple if not quadruple as new contracts execute. with EPS expected to reach $.08-$.15 by the end of the year. The Company earned $0.06 per-share last year.

Last week, CYIOS announced a comprehensive information technology support contract with the FBI valued at $175 million. The D.C.-based Department of Defense contractor will help design, develop, maintain, enhance, and provide operational support for automated systems.

Shares of CYIO traded for $0.13 as of this post.

Penny stock investing and a few penny buzz stocks

Thursday, February 5th, 2009

I recently watched an interview with Tim Sykes, the author of An American Hedge Fund. Sykes, who’s in his mid-20s discussed a few reasons why your 20’s may be a good time to explore the volatile world of micro cap stocks.

Here’s the interview:

Now, before you get too excited, there’s a lot of downside to playing penny stocks.

Investopedia.com has a great primer for anyone interested in highly volatile penny stocks.

According to Investopedia, there are four main reasons to be leery of penny stocks:

1. Lack of reliable information available to the public: The key to any successful investment strategy is acquiring enough tangible information to make informed decisions. For micro cap stocks, information is much more difficult to find. Companies listed on the pink sheets are not required to file with the SEC and are thus not as publicly scrutinized or regulated as the stocks represented on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchanges; furthermore, much of the information available about micro cap stocks is typically not from a credible source.

2. No minimum standards:
Stocks on the OTCBB and pink sheets do not have to fulfill minimum standard requirements to remain on the exchange. (Read What are the listing requirements for the Nasdaq?) Sometimes, this is why the stock is on one of these exchanges. Once a company can no longer maintain its position on one of the major exchanges, the company moves one of these smaller exchanges. While the OTCBB does require companies to file timely documents with the SEC, the pink sheets have no such requirement. Minimum standards act as a safety cushion for some investors and as a benchmark for some companies.

3. Lack of history:
Many of the companies considered to be micro cap stocks are either newly formed or approaching bankruptcy. These companies will generally have a poor track record or none at all. As you can imagine, the lack of historical information magnifies the difficulty in picking the right stock.

4. Liquidity: When stocks don’t have much liquidity, two problems arise: first, there is the possibility that the stock you purchased cannot be sold. If there is a low level of liquidity, it may be hard to find a buyer for a particular stock, and you may be required to lower your price until it is considered attractive by another buyer. Second, low liquidity levels provide opportunities for some traders to manipulate stock prices, which is done in many different ways – the easiest is to buy large amounts of stock, hype it up and then sell it after other investors find it attractive (also known as pump and dump).

Even with all the risks associated with penny and micro-cap stocks, there is a lot of upside if you choose the right ones to get behind.

Here are 3 Penny Buzz Stocks that we think are worth keeping an eye on:

Glowpoint, Inc. (OTCBB:GLOW): If you’re an avid ESPN viewer, you’ve probably seen Glowpoint’s technology at work. The company provides high-quality video conferencing technology to media companies. Trends like high definition video on the Web are creating a lot of opportunities of Glowpoint to grow its customer base, and develop new solutions. The company has a trailing P/E of 7.8, and has quarterly (yoy) revenue growth of 4.5 percent. Glowpoint has about $1.7 of cash in the bank, and earned about $0.51 per share last year.

Soyo Group, Inc. (OTCBB: SOYO): This computer, and consumer electronic products maker just unveiled 20 of its newest products at this year’s Consumer Electronics Show including bluetooth adapters, external hard drives, and HD TVs. The company’s Honeywell line of HD TVs is also being sold on Feb. 7th on HSN this Saturday. 9, Management projects total revenue will be approximately $110 million, with approximately $2 million in profit and $0.04 earnings per share.

Goldspring, Inc. (OTCBB: GSPG): Hard assets like gold and silver could make a comeback this year in light of the shaky global economy. The company just announced test results that revealed strong gold and silver mineralization in the deposit at the Hartford Complex in the Comstock Lode District of Nevada. The stock could be primed to make a run in the next few weeks, as the company is planning to announce

Just remember, penny stocks are volatile and erratic. If you buy a stock at $0.10 and sell it at $0.15, that represents a 50% return on your investment. A 5 cent decline, however, would leave you with a 50% loss. Many stocks trade in this range on a daily basis. If your investment capital is $10 000, a 50% loss is a $5000 loss. Do this twice and you’re investment is gone. Keep your stops close. If you get stopped out, move on.