Archive for the ‘Materials Stocks’ Category

Bargain Buzz Stocks–BNI, DENN and PCLN

Monday, March 2nd, 2009

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell below 7,000 for the first time since October 1997 today, and all eyes are on a jobs report due out Friday which could be a “shocker,” according to David Dietze, chief investment strategist at Point View Financial Services. Some economists are predicting unemployment to hit 8 percent.

It all sounds very dismal, and for the most part, it is. But there are still opportunities out there–especially for investors that take a long-term approach to investing. These days, it seems like that’s the only way to go.

David Leonhardt of the NY Times stated in his blog today:

“With today’s declines, the long-term price-earnings ratio of the Standard & Poor 500-stock index is down to about 12.3. Over the past century, this ratio has averaged about 16. So relative to corporate profits, the stock market now appears to be undervalued by about 30 percent.”

But if you look back on history, stocks may have a way to go before they truly hit bottom.

Stated Leonhardt:

“In the other two great bear markets of the past century, in the 1930s and the 1980s, the p-e ratio ultimately dropped to about 6 or 7. To get to that level now, the S&P 500 would have to drop below 400, from the current 701, and the Dow Jones industrial average would need to be below 4,000.”

Here are a few Bargain Buzz Stocks that we think are worth looking at:

Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp. (NYSE: BNI)
: Warren Buffet has been increasing his stake in this railroad company lately. Shares closed at $55.00 today. Great long-term investment.

Denny’s Corp. (Nasdaq: DENN): On Jan. 15, the company said it expects to meet or exceed its previous guidance for full-year 2008, thanks to the success of the Franchise Growth Initiative (FGI) and other cost-saving actions that protect margins and cash flow. The company has also restructured quite a bit, selling off a lot of its franchises, and keeping its best locations for its own portfolio.

Priceline.com, Inc. (Nasdaq: PCLN): And it’s not because we’re huge Shatner fans, either. Trading at around $82 per share, the stock above its 52-week low, but well below the high for the period of $144. The Company’s Name Your Own Price (NYOP) strategy will continue to become more attractive especially in a recessionary mode–both for travelers looking for a good deal, and hotel operators looking to unload inventory.

Top ETFs for 2009- VBK, SDY, DLN and ITM

Monday, February 9th, 2009

ETFs are a great way to go for anyone looking to plug holes in their portfolio. If you’re looking for more exposure to foreign markets or can’t decide which biotech stock to invest in, maybe an ETF is the way to go. A lot of experts are pointing to ETFs as a good way for investors to get back some of their lost gains.

Here are a few differences between an ETF and an index fund.

Taxes: The big buzz about ETFs is their tax efficiency. The big “tax event” for ETF shareholders happens when you sell your shares, hopefully at a profit, after which you’ll pay capital gains taxes.

Expense ratios: By construction, ETF investors have less exposure to capital gains taxes than mutual fund shareholders. That’s because fund managers frequently buy and sell the fund’s holdings — and ask investors to pick up the tab. ETFs occasionally shift shares, too, although much less than most mutual funds. Annual expenses for ETFs range between 0.1% and 0.65% and are deducted from dividends. Index mutual funds charge anywhere from 0.1% to more than 3%.

Minimum investment requirement: For investors with limited funds (say, less than $1,000) who want to get started in the stock market, ETFs offer a cheap entrée. Through your discount brokerage account, you can buy one single measly share if you choose. In comparison, many index mutual funds have high initial balance requirements. (Those with lower requirements often charge higher fees.)

Ease of use: Here’s the double-edged sword of ETF investing. They are easy to buy — you simply need a discount brokerage account (and that’s easy to get — and cheap). Consequently, they’re easy to trade. And trade and trade and trade.

Here are a few ETFs we think are worth keeping an eye on:

1. Vanguard Small Cap Growth ETF (VBK): Although the year-to-date returns were -40%, we think small-caps may lead the charge of the next bull market. Roughly 19% of this ETF’s holdings are in healthcare and industrial materials–both reasonably stable sectors. Holdings include: Devry, Inc. (NYSE: DV), Edwards Lifesciences (NYSE: EW) and ANSYS, Inc. (Nasdaq: ANSS).

2. SPDR S&P Dividend (SDY): Dividend ETFs seem to be gaining a lot of interest lately. This investment seeks to replicate, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield of the S&P High Yield Dividend Aristocrats index. The fund uses a passive management strategy designed to track the price and yield performance of the Dividend index. It is nondiversified.SDY has been down almost 23% over the last 12 months. However, its holdings, which include Con Edison (NYSE: ED), FirstMerit Corp. (Nasdaq: FMER) and Vectren Corp. (NYSE: VVC), all of which we think are in sweet spots of the market.

3. WisdomTree LargeCap Dividend (DLN): Another dividend ETF. DLN’s holdings include Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX), Pfizer, Inc. (NYSE: PFE), and Wal Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT). he fund employs a passive management (or indexing) investment approach designed to track the performance of the WisdomTree LargeCap Dividend index. It attempts to invest all, or substantially all, of assets in the stocks that make up the Index. DLN generally uses a replication strategy to achieve its investment objective and generally will hold each stock in approximately the same proportion as its weighting in the index. It is nondiversified.

4. Market Vectors Intermediate Municipal (ITM): The fund invests at least 80% of total assets in fixed-income securities that comprise the index. It has adopted a fundamental investment policy to invest at least 80% of assets in investments suggested by its name.

Here’s a cool video on ETF investing:

Best infrastructure stocks- ETN, BAM, JEC

Monday, January 12th, 2009

There’s a lot of buzz on the Street about infrastructure stocks leading the bull market’s charge. Irrational exuberance is what got us here in the first place. So it behooves any one thinking about riding the infrastructure ‘boom’ to remain on the side of caution.

What constitutes an infrastructure stock?

Many point to companies that build roads, bridges, high-speed railway systems, water infrastructure, transportation systems, and green infrastructure.

Here are our top 3 infrastructure buzz stocks:

1. Eaton Corp. (NYSE: ETN): This $8 billion power solutions company has a trailing P/E of 6.8, 22 percent quarterly earnings growth (yoy), and gross profit of $3.6 billion. The stock has gotten crushed over 41% over the last year, which could be a sign that it’s ready to pop back up.

2. Brookfield Asset Management (NYSE: BAM): With nearly $50 billion in assets focused on the property, power, and infrastructure sectors, the first noise you hear from the infrastructure boom could be “BAM.” Brookfield has taken a beating, just like Eaton–falling almost 43 percent in the last year. Fundamentally, the company has quarterly earnings growth of about 84 percent, and more than $1 billion of cash.

3. Jacobs Engineering Group (NYSE: JEC):Jacobs provides engineering, architectural, technical, professional, and construction services to industrial and government organizations. The company has an operating margin of about 5.7 percent, and quarterly earnings growth of more than 35 percent. Another battered stock, shares of Jacob are down about 42 percent this year.

The New New Deal

The New New Deal, promises to fix our crumbling pipes, expand our highways, fix our bridges, and lay a foundation for a new way of life.

But is it just a band-aid covering up a festering wound?

Here’s an interesting video on whether or not FDR’s New Deal was a true solution, or just smoke and mirrors:

Is infrastructure the answer? Only time will tell. But if President-Elect Barack Obama is going to follow in the footsteps of FDR, infrastructure stocks will see some gains. How long those gains sustain is anyone’s guess.